Dear Colleague:
Now that the myth of more abortions under President Bush has been
completely debunked, how long before it dies?
Steven W. Mosher
President
PRI Weekly Briefing
3 June 2005
Vol. 7 / No. 21
Hillary, John, and Howard's Bogus Abortion Adventure
By Joseph A. D'Agostino
Way back on Oct. 25, 2004, PRI debunked the false claim, coincidently made
just before the elections, that the number of abortions was rising under
President Bush. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D.-N.Y.), Sen. John Kerry
(D.-Mass.), and Democratic National Committee (DNC) Chairman Howard
Dean-perhaps not regular readers of the Weekly Briefing-perpetuated that
bogus claim anyway. Now that the Alan Guttmacher Institute and
FactCheck.org have killed that assertion beyond hope of plausible revival,
Clinton, Kerry, and Dean may want to correct the record the next time they
have the chance.
"Glen Harold Stassen, Professor of Christian Ethics at Fuller Theological
Seminary in Pasadena, California, has published an opinion piece claiming
that abortions are increasing under pro-life President George W. Bush,
after declining under pro-abortion President Bill Clinton," we wrote in
October. "He attacks Bush for being pro-life in word, but not in deed,
for not offering pregnant women 'health care, health insurance, jobs,
child care, and a living wage.'. . . Both his facts and his argument are
wrong."
According to Annenberg FactCheck.org (www.factcheck.org),
Hillary Clinton
told a group of "family planning" activists on Jan. 24, 2005, "But
unfortunately, in the last few years, while we are engaged in an
ideological debate instead of one that uses facts and evidence and common
sense, the rate of abortion is on the rise in some states. In the three
years since President Bush took office, 8 states saw an increase in
abortion rates (14.6% average increase), and four saw a decrease (4.3%
average), so we have a lot of work still ahead of us."
As FactCheck noted, "Clinton was careful not to state flatly that
abortions were increasing nationally. She spoke only of 'some states' in
which the rate had increased. But she invited her listeners to conclude
that the national trend to fewer abortions had reversed itself since Bush
took office."
Said Kerry on NBC's "Meet the Press" a few days after Clinton spoke, "And
do you know that in fact abortion has gone up in these last few years with
the Draconian policies that Republicans have. . . ?" And just last month,
on the May 24 edition of "Meet the Press," Dean said, "You know that
abortions have gone up 25% since George Bush was President?" Since
Stassen's figures showed an increase of 4%, the source of Dean's number is
a mystery. FactCheck says the DNC won't say where it originated. Maybe
it came to Dean in a scream.
"For about a year now a myth has been promoted that abortions have
increased since President Bush was elected in 2000," complained pro-life
Congressman Chris Smith (R.-N.J.) on the House floor May 26. "This myth
was launched publicly when Glen Stassen and Gary Krane published a piece
in October of 2004 [Stassen had previously e-published a solo article],
called 'Why abortion rate is up in Bush years' that attempted to make the
case that President Bush's pro-life policies have not been effective in
decreasing abortion."
Says FactCheck, "A close reading of Stassen's article makes clear that he
didn't even pretend to have comprehensive national data on abortion rates.
He said he looked at data from 16 states only-and didn't even name most
of them."
Planned Parenthood's Alan Guttmacher Institute, an authoritative source
for American abortion statistics that even we pro-lifers accept, says that
abortions have declined under Bush. Stassen used data from 16 states to
come up with his assertions; Guttmacher has data from 43 states which it
used to see if Stassen's assertion was correct. On May 19-before Dean
mouthed off-it released its results. It found that the number of
abortions decreased by 0.8% in 2001 and another 0.8% in 2002. The
abortion rate went down by 1% in 2001 and another 0.9% in 2002. (Data for
2003 and 2004 are not yet available.) While it is true that the abortion
rate is not declining as fast as it did for part of the 1990s, it is
declining. Stassen conceded to FactCheck on May 26 that Guttmacher's
report is "significantly better" than his own.
Now if only leading liberal politicians would face facts as well, and then
this little bogus abortion adventure can come to an end.
Joseph A. D'Agostino is Vice President for Communications at PRI.
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Media Contact: Joseph A. D'Agostino
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